Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.001511 0.001677 0.001843 0.002021 0.002205 0.002389 0.002588
2025-10-05 0.001261 0.001505 0.001754 0.002026 0.002313 0.002607 0.002928
2025-10-12 0.001069 0.001371 0.001687 0.002040 0.002419 0.002812 0.003247
2025-10-19 0.000888 0.001232 0.001603 0.002025 0.002486 0.002969 0.003508
2025-10-26 0.000734 0.001110 0.001526 0.002009 0.002543 0.003109 0.003748
2025-11-02 0.000601 0.001000 0.001454 0.001991 0.002593 0.003238 0.003970
2025-11-09 0.000493 0.000909 0.001396 0.001983 0.002649 0.003368 0.004190
2025-11-16 0.000405 0.000833 0.001350 0.001984 0.002711 0.003501 0.004411
2025-11-23 0.000329 0.000765 0.001310 0.001986 0.002771 0.003631 0.004624
2025-11-30 0.000293 0.000746 0.001325 0.002053 0.002902 0.003836 0.004919
2025-12-07 0.000231 0.000684 0.001283 0.002047 0.002948 0.003945 0.005106
2025-12-14 0.000179 0.000629 0.001246 0.002046 0.002997 0.004055 0.005292
2025-12-21 0.000131 0.000584 0.001235 0.002095 0.003127 0.004281 0.005637
2025-12-28 0.000078 0.000517 0.001191 0.002103 0.003210 0.004457 0.005928
2026-01-04 0.000039 0.000459 0.001156 0.002119 0.003302 0.004644 0.006232
2026-01-11 0.000009 0.000390 0.001099 0.002105 0.003357 0.004787 0.006487
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000327 0.001043 0.002089 0.003407 0.004922 0.006733
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000269 0.000989 0.002072 0.003453 0.005051 0.006970
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000221 0.000944 0.002064 0.003509 0.005190 0.007215
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000182 0.000907 0.002065 0.003573 0.005338 0.007470
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000148 0.000874 0.002068 0.003638 0.005485 0.007723
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000138 0.000888 0.002135 0.003783 0.005725 0.008081
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000107 0.000851 0.002130 0.003835 0.005854 0.008311